Saturday, November 25, 2006

'Dragged into a war on false pretences'

By Paul Tate

The long awaited Butler report was finally published on Wednesday. The report took six months to complete and focused, like its counterpart in the US, on the intelligence that was used to justify the war on Iraq. Unlike the Senate report, Butler''s was quintessentially English - carefully crafted and constructed in such a way as not to offend anyone.
This was to be expected. Butler is a former Cabinet secretary and an establishment insider in the full sense of the term. Whereas the US inquiry a week ago cut straight to the chase, with Senator Jay Rockefeller stating aggressively that Congress was misled and adding "we went to war on false claims", Butler''s style was far more subtle in both tone and delivery.
Nevertheless, although the language was cautious, there was plenty of meat for those discerning enough to pick through the niceties. Plenty of mmunition to fire at Prime Minister Tony Blair - despite the fact that Butler himself remained perched firmly and securely on the fence, with every criticism quickly followed by a qualifier. The inquiry concluded that there were "serious intelligence flaws", but Butler saw no evidence of "culpable negligence".
The report stated that the 45-minute claim should never have been included in the September 2002 dossier. This was the dossier on which Blair''s argument for military action was based. Butler, however, despite agreeing that the claim may have been inserted for its "eye catching quality" - refused to make the connection that it was inserted to sell the war to parliament and to the general public. The report strongly criticised the government''s claim that the above dossier was "owned by the Joint Intelligence Committee", which it was not.
This claim gave credibility and legitimacy to the government''s case for war. The report makes clear how Blair saw fit to remove all the qualifiers. In the Blair version, possibilities became certainties and maybes became definites. A selective approach to the intelligence was used, giving the impression that the intelligence was solid when it was not. But yet again, Butler refrained from accusing the government of sexing up the document and maintained that the government had "acted in good faith".
Another criticism was aimed at the "informality of decision making" in No. 10 and the concentration of power in only a few chosen allies of the prime minister. Apparently, according to the report, Cabinet meetings were called at short notice and ministers were given no advance notice of the issues to be discussed, giving them no time to receive adequate briefing - thus, no awkward questions for Blair. But according to Butler, there was no reason to suggest that this style is "any less effective". And this was the nature of the report, criticism followed by qualification.
Despite the litany of failures detailed in the report, apparently no one is to blame. The British citizens were drip fed faulty intelligence - selective and "eye-catching" intelligence over the period of a year - including, let us not forget, a plagiarised PhD thesis complete with typographical errors, yet according to his lordship, no one is to blame. Prime Minister Blair chose to leave out important information and insert other "eye-catching" information that, according to Butler, should "not have been in the September 2002 dossier, yet no one is to blame.
According to Butler, "there was no case for stating that the parliament and the British public had been misled". So what are we to make of this? The report, while giving plenty of mmunition to the government''s critics, also cushions every blow in the true English spirit of fair play. But we are not talking about a game of cricket here or a game of polo. We are talking about war. The most unevenly contested conflict in the history of modern warfare. And let us not forget the fact that it was this "flawed intelligence" - this "selective" and "eye-catching" information - that was sold to the British public by Blair with the cunning of a second hand car salesman and the zeal of a TV evangelist.
This is what won Blair the March 2003 vote in the House of Commons to pursue his war - a war that according to the Sir Christopher Meyer, the ex-British ambassador to Washington, was planned in September 2001 during dinner with George W. Bush. Although Butler''s thoroughly British report will be seen by Blair as closure to the whole affair, MPs and the British public will see it differently. Both will feel hoodwinked by Blair. Should the UK face a serious threat of war in the near future, it is doubtful whether Blair would be believed.
This could have grave consequences for the security of the UK. Also, in drawing the intelligence services into the political process, Blair has done the country a great disservice at a critical time when trust in these services is essential in the face of the real threat to the UK from international terrorism. What is absolutely clear from the Butler report is that the UK was dragged into a war on false pretences. It is simply just not good enough for Blair to claim now that getting rid of Saddam wasrestore public confidence in the government, a full public enquiry should be conducted into the political judgements that resulted in the Iraq war.

The writer is former lecturer at the University of Durham, UK. He ontributed this article to The Jordan Times. Friday-Saturday, July 16-17, 2004

US, UK clash over Afghan heroin eradication

By Paul Tate
Heroin was not the natural drug of choice for the disenfranchised youthof the early 1980s. Before the Soviets invaded Afghanistan in 1979, teenagers in working class run-down housing estates across Western Europe preferred to smoke marijuana, largely to block out the monotony of unemployed life.
All that changed in the early 1980s with the setting up of a "pipeline" by the Pakistani Intelligence Services and the CIA, and funded by Saudi largesse to channel arms and funds to Osama Ben Laden and the Afghan Mujahedeen.
As a quid pro-quo, a blind eye was turned to the heroin that began to flow the other way. This vast supply of cheap high-grade heroin didn''t take long to make its way to Europe''s cities, which have been struggling with the consequences ever since. Wide-scale heroin addiction, crime, gangsterism and corruption, not to mention CIA-trained Islamic extremists,
were just some of the consequences of Afghanistan Mark I.
Twenty-five years later, the country has once again reclaimed its No. 1 spot at the top of the world league of heroin producers. Poppy cultivation in Afghanistan doubled between 2002 and 2003 to a level 36 times higher than in the last year of rule by the Taleban, according to White House figures.
Since the "war on terror" began, heroin production has soared by 1,400 per cent. According to the UN, the combined income of poppy farmers and smugglers last year was around $2.3 billion, a 6 per cent increase on the previous year and fifty per cent of Afghanistan''s legal gross domestic product.
British policy makers have been complaining of late that the US appears to be disinterested in combating the growing drug problem. Given that 95 per cent of the heroin sold on the streets of the UK originates in Afghanistan, as compared to only 5 per cent in the US, British anxiety
is understandable. But there are other reasons the US appears to be once again turning a blind eye to the booming opium trade.
One US official was quoted in Britain''s Guardian newspaper as saying: "You guys [the British] are here because you have a war on drugs, I''m here because we have a war on terror." But the real reason the US is reluctant to make a concerted effort to close down the drug laboratories is that some of its key allies in the Afghan government are thought to be up to their necks in drug money.
The US strategy in Afghanistan Mark II, as was the case in Afghanistan Mark I, is to turn a blind eye to heroin trafficking in order to pursue geopolitical goals. With the country already on the brink of anarchy, and US forces at full stretch, the last thing the Americans want is to
open up another front against the drug barons. Above all, the US doesn''t want to upset the current administration and the forthcoming elections scheduled for Oct. 9. Local commanders have, therefore, been allowed to use profits from drug trafficking to fund their private militias and amass power under the umbrella of the Bush administration''s war on terror.
But as Mirwais Yasini, Afghanistan''s Counter Narcotics Directorate chief, has pointed out, this strategy has already started to backfire. Alliances in Afghanistan follow the old dictum "my enemy''s enemy is my friend".
Today''s allies become tomorrow''s foes. Yasini says he is aware of at least two millionaire drug barons in league with Taleban rebels trying to destabilise the south of the country.
The consequences of inaction are clear: more money in the coffers of local warlords means more weapons which, in turn, leads to greater instability and undermines the fledgling democratic process. Afghanistan''s first post-Taleban elections have already been postponed twice due to increasing violence towards voters and officials. Attacks attributed to the Taleban
and its Al Qaeda allies have claimed more than 1,000 lives in the past 12 months. Only Kabul is considered secure. The rest of the country is in the grip of the warlords.
Efforts to disarm the militias, a precondition for elections under the Bonn 2001 accord, have stalled. Drug cultivation and trafficking are undermining the rule of law and providing a mass of funds for international terrorism and fuelling the Taleban revival, as well as a culture of addiction, crime, bribery and corruption in Afghanistan and the surrounding states.
At particular risk is the Central Asian state of Tajikistan. This desperately poor nation shares a 900-mile border with Afghanistan and is now the preferred route for traffickers. Analysts believe that the country is at risk of turning into a "narco-mafia state" controlled by an economy dependent on the flow of heroin and with links to Al Qaeda and regional Islamists
, precisely what the US claims it intervened in Afghanistan to prevent.
The country is already deeply affected by the fall out from the drugs trail. Tajikistan is experiencing a heroin epidemic akin to that experienced by Britain in the 1980s and all the misery that entails: drug-crime, social and family breakdown, wasted lives and increasing rates of HIV infection.
Meanwhile, in the towns and inner-cities of Europe, a new batch of cheap high-grade heroin is freely available on the streets. In Afghanistan Mark I, the proceeds of this trade went to fund the Mujahedeen against the Russians and, later, the infighting between rival warlords. Now, ironically, the heroin bought by European drug users is funding the forces of international terrorism and the Central Asian mafias - therefore increasing the possibility of wide-scale terrorist attacks and their ability to acquire chemical, biological or even nuclear weapons.

Syria will pay price for Hariri murder

By Paul Tate

There is one certainty surrounding the assassination of Rafik Hariri,
the former Lebanese prime minister: no matter who is responsible, Damascus
will pay the price.
Opposition figures inside Lebanon opposed to Syria''s military presence
are now openly pointing the finger of accusation at Syria and President
Emile Lahoud''s pro-Syrian government. For years, the Lebanese have blamed
Syria for a string of political assassinations, but never before have
they declared it publicly.
They now feel confident to oppose Damascus because they sense, quite rightly,
that what is happening in Lebanon is part of a much wider game, involving
an array of anti-Syrian forces. Lebanon, as was the case during the 16-year
civil war, is once again finding itself in the unenviable position of
becoming the theatre for a much wider international conflict.
Syria and its sole ally Iran are now firmly in the US spotlight for possible
regime change, with the former being a much easier option. For months
now, Washington has been turning the heat up on Syria, accusing it of
aiding and abetting the insurgency in Iraq and of "interfering" in the
Israeli-Palestinian peace process through its support of Hamas and Hizbollah.
Sanctions have already been placed on Damascus, with more in the pipeline.
Seen in this context, Hariri''s bombing and murder is a gift-horse to
those in Washington gunning for regime change in Damascus and supports,
rather conveniently, America''s claim that Syria is a destabilising force,
not just in Lebanon, but the whole region. The US wasted little time in
recalling its ambassador and bolstering Lebanon''s opposition forces by
calling for Lebanon to be allowed to choose "a path of freedom and independence",
in other words, for Syria to comply with UN Resolution 1559 and withdraw
its 14,000 forces from the country in accordance with the 1991 Taif accord
that ended the 16-year civil war.
Since the end of the cold war and the loss of its Russian ally, Syria''s
strategic hand has steadily weakened. Now isolated and on the defensive,
the regime in Damascus is desperately trying to retain the last card in
its pack: its domination over Lebanon. Lebanon is Syria''s last and most
vital bargaining chip in a 37-year struggle to regain the Golan Heights,
occupied by Israel in the 1967 war.
Through its support for Hizbollah and Palestinian resistance groups, the
regime in Damascus has sought to persuade Israel to negotiate and make
a deal. Israel and the US, on the other hand, have constantly sought to
undermine Syria''s hand, shut down the resistance and isolate both Syria
and the Palestinians. The decision by Ehud Barak to end Israel''s 22-year
occupation of southern Lebanon in 2000 can be viewed in this context.
Ironically, Lebanon is now being used by Syria''s enemies as a platform
from which to exploit it. The once strategic bargaining asset is fast
becoming an Achilles'' heel. The methods once employed by Syria to ensure
domination in Lebanon, such as political manipulation and intimidation,
are now backfiring against the regime with devastating effect.
Syria is steadily losing its grip, highlighted by its diktat to extend
the constitutionally permitted presidential six-year term of pro-Syrian
President Emile Lahoud. The harder Syria pushes to hold on to her prized
possession the more it inflames the opposition, backed by international
powers.
Long-term Syrian allies, such as Druze leader Walid Jumblatt, although
remaining generally supportive of Syria, have been quick to sense the
changing tide and, like others, has decided to swim with the current.
Was Hariri about to jump on board with Jumblatt and back the opposition
and drive another blow against Syria''s bargaining chip in the Middle
East?
One thing is for sure: no matter who was responsible, Hariri''s murder
has severely undermined Syria''s already fragile position in the region,
whilst strengthening the hand of its enemies. It now remains to be seen
whether Syria will acquiesce to US designs in the region and trade in
the Lebanese card in some kind of deal to assure its place in the new
Middle East order, or whether Lebanon will once again become a battleground
for a much larger international conflict.

Tough challenges ahead for Blair

By Paul Tate

British Prime Minister Tony Blair may be putting a brave face on an election
win that gave his party a third consecutive term, but behind the optimistic
faade he will know that it signals the beginning of his demise.
Only 24 hours after his reelection, backbench MPs are already calling
for Blair to step down "sooner rather than later". The embattled British
PM is now regarded as an "electoral liability", according to one former
minister, with the general consensus among party members that the real
hero responsible for bringing Labour back to office is the PM in waiting
and Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown.
Power struggles have already broken out in the Cabinet, with Deputy Prime
Minister John Prescott and education secretary Ruth Kelly openely defying
Blair in their refusal to move to other posts.
Elected on a mere 36 per cent of the vote and with a reduced majority
in the House of Commons, not to mention a distinct lack of trust on the
part of the UK electorate, one wonders to what extent Blair will be able
to push through his much touted programme of reforms.
On controversial issues such as anti-terror control orders and compulsory
ID cards he will face stiff opposition which could well see them confined
to the filing cabinet for the remainder of his term. Also, in terms of
public service reform, Blair may find himself having to veer more towards
old Labour values of pouring in the cash in his quest for backbench votes,
which will not sit well with the much needed support of middle England,
so crucial to the New Labour venture. Navigating between these to diametrically
opposed political currents will take a lot of diplomacy and capital from
a prime minister who is all but spent up in this regard.
The new term will also require a change in political style from a man
that has so far demonstrated disdain for the consensual approach to decision
making. Due to the government''s sharply reduced majority, backbench Labour
MPs who have been sidelined over the previous eight years will now find
themselves courted by Blair - but will they back him? Gone are the days
when he could simply rely on his huge majority in the Commons to browbeat
the "awkward squad" into swallowing their convictions and back controversial
policies such as the introduction of university tuition fees.
Blair will also be aware that both of Labour''s old foes in the shape
of the Conservative and Liberal Democrat parties have emerged strengthened
from this election. In the inner cities, the Liberals are snapping at
Labour''s heels, picking up votes from traditional Labour voters disillusioned
with the party''s swing to the right and by Blair''s insistence on dragging
Britain into the Iraq war.
This poses a dilemma for the Blair government. The whole New Labour project
has been one of occupying the middle ground - which roughly translates
as the centre-right. Therefore, he has, until now, solely focused on appealing
to conservative values while taking traditional Labour seats for granted.
But as the election results highlight, this strategy appears to be unravelling
with millions of voters defecting to the new party of the left - the Lib
Dems.
In the Tory heartland of middle England, where New Labour was born, Blair
also has to watch his back to ensure that their successes in London are
not repeated elsewhere. He is increasingly being viewed as soft on crime
and immigration, as well as veering towards big government - the antithesis
of the Tory creed, not to mention being too Euro-friendly. Michael Howard''s
decision to step down as Conservative leader, however, has bought Labour
some time. The Tories will be occupied with internal battles for a good
while yet.
On the international stage, and especially in terms of Blair''s partnership
with the Bush administration, the prime minister finds himself considerably
weakened. This will be welcome news in Damascus and Tehran, currently
feeling the heat from the US, but bad news for the Bush-Blair axis. Any
military action against either of these states now seems more unlikely
than ever. Blair is simply too weak in terms of both trust and political
capital to push through a vote in the House of Commons sanctioning another
war. This may well be taken by Iran as a window of opportunity to accelerate
its uranium enrichment programme, therefore forcing the hand of the US
and Israel.
But perhaps the key issue with the potential to unravel not just Blair
but the entire New Labour project will be on the European front - an issue
that has been on the backburner for some time now but which is rapidly
coming to the boil. Blair will follow a policy of wait and see in terms
of the outcome of the May 29 French referendum on the European constitution.
One can''t help but suspect that many in the Blair government wish the
whole matter would just go away. If the French vote yes, Blair will be
forced to follow suit and attempt to sell it to a Euro-sceptic British
public - with all Blair''s political capital and trust exhausted this
appears an impossible task. A referendum defeat on the EU constitution
would spell political disaster and turn the whole of Labour''s third term
into a debate as to whether Britain should break away from Europe. A scenario
such as this would push British politics firmly to the right, while damaging
European and transatlantic relations and completely undermining Britain''s
role as "America''s voice" in Europe.
The UK''s total exports to the EU amount to 9.5 per cent of the country''s
GDP, while member states'' exports to Britain are worth just 2.4 per cent
of their combined GDP. Britain''s succession, therefore, would not be
viewed kindly with negotiating strength firmly in favour of the EU. It
would also see Britain weakened in a world where China, India and Brazil
are emerging as economic powers.
The conclusion seems to be that Blair won Thursday night''s battle but
lost the war. In British politics one thing is certain - a British prime
minister cannot survive without a stable political base in the House of
Commons, especially one that is now regarded by many in his own party
as untrustworthy and a liability.

Fertile ground for radicalism

By Paul Tate

As the shock subsides and realisation sets in concerning the gravity of
the home grown suicide attacks on London last Thursday, the question
on everyone’s lips is: Why did four British-born Pakistani men, one apparently
a primary schoolteacher with a wife and child, deliberately set out to
kill and maim as many of their fellow citizens as possible?
Although troubling to many, the writing has been on the wall for many
years now. Britain has already produced a handful of homegrown suicide
bombers, one of whom, Asif Hanif, 21, from London, accomplished his mission
by walking into a bar in Tel Aviv in 2003 and blowing himself up. His
accomplice, from the English city of Derby, backed out of the mission
and was later found dead floating in the Mediterranean. There was also
the infamous but equally inept “Shoe Bomber”, Richard Reid, who attempted
to blow up a plane bound to Miami from Paris. Fortunately he was overpowered
by passengers before he was able to light the explosive cord concealed
in his shoe and has since been jailed for life in the US.
And there have been many more of their ilk, including Ahmad Omar Saeed
Sheikh, the public school boy and London School of Economics graduate
who masterminded the kidnapping and murder of the American journalist
Daniel Pearl. Sheikh was sentenced to death last year in Pakistan.
So we cannot pretend that this is something new - that British-exported
terrorism wouldn’t come home to roost. Added to this, it is well known
that up to 3,000 British-born Muslims have attended terrorist training
camps in Afghanistan, including, it seems, at least one of the London
bombers, with many more volunteering to fight in Bosnia, Chechnya, Kashmir
and the newly created crڈme de la crڈme of training grounds - Iraq.
Given this context, the only surprise should be that last Thursday’s barbaric
acts took so long in coming and that the security service MI5 failed to
catch the perpetrators before they had chance to murder innocent civilians.
The radicalisation of a section of British Muslims has long been known,
driven by a desire to align themselves with the forces of global jihad.
When Bush divided the world into good and evil, us or them, and subsequently
invaded Afghanistan and Iraq, for many British Muslims the choice was
made easy and they threw their hands in with Ben Laden.
For this reason it is significant that all four suicide bombers carried
with them some form of identity - no doubt to the consternation of those
who sent them. Already some conspiracy theorists are beginning to cry
foul - why would they carry items that could identify them, they ask.
The answer is simple, they wanted to be known

Australia and Canada close embassies, citing security threat

By Paul Tate

AMMAN — Australia and Canada closed their embassies here indefinitely on Sunday due to an undisclosed security threat, a day after Britain closed its embassy citing similar security concerns.

“Reports suggest terrorists may be in the final stages of planning attacks against Westerners and places frequented by Westerners in Jordan,” said a statement on Sunday posted on the Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade website.

The statement advised its citizens to exercise a “high degree of caution in Jordan because of the high risk of a terrorist attack.”

Both embassies announced that their premises would remain closed until further notice. No one at either embassy was available for comment.

Britain closed its embassy in Amman on Saturday. While giving no specific details on the nature of the threat, a spokesperson from the embassy told The Jordan Times that it would remain closed until further notice “due to a security alert.”

Jordanian Government Spokesman Nasser Judeh in a statement on Sunday to the Jordan News Agency, Petra, said the security threat against the embassies was not sufficient to warrant their closure.

Judeh did not comment on the reasons behind the decision to close the embassies but said that the Kingdom's security agencies had made a full assessment of the situation and had informed the three embassies of the threat level.

“In this case the security authorities concluded that the threats did not warrant the closures,” Judeh said.

However, he added that security around the embassies had been reinforced.

“Jordan is committed to use all its available resources to provide full security as required to all diplomatic missions,” Judeh said.

British Ambassador to Jordan Christopher Prentice praised Jordanian security departments on Sunday for ensuring the embassy's safety, according to the Jordan News Agency, Petra.

When asked about the reasons for the embassy closure, Prentice said a threat came via the Internet. He also expressed hope that the embassy would open as soon as possible.

The decision to close the embassies comes amid heightened security measures throughout the country following the November 2005 suicide attacks on three of the capital's hotels, which left 60 people dead and around 100 injured.

Al Qaeda in Iraq, led by Jordanian fugitive Abu Mussab Zarqawi, claimed responsibility for the attacks.

Shortly after the bombings, the group posted an Internet statement on an Islamist website promising more attacks against places frequented by foreigners, and warning Jordanians to avoid visiting hotels, embassies and tourist sites.

Since the attacks, security has been stepped up at the country's major institutions and leisure facilities, with metal detectors and security guards becoming a regular feature of life in the capital at the entrances to hotels, restaurants and shopping malls.

In August 2005, a Jordanian soldier was killed during a rocket attack on two American warships docked in the southern Port of Aqaba. The incident was also blamed on the group led by Zarqawi.

In 2004, the State Security Court sentenced Zarqawi to death in absentia after convicting him, along with six others, of the murder of USAID officer Laurence Foley, who was gunned down outside his Amman home in October 2002.

Monday,January 9, 2006

Jordan’s security boosted by Zarqawi’s demise — analysts

By Paul Tate

AMMAN — The prospect of further large-scale terrorist attacks in Jordan has been significantly reduced as a result of the death of Al Qaeda frontman in Iraq Abu Mussab Zarqawi, analysts said on Sunday.

The Jordanian-born militant was killed late Wednesday after two US F16s dropped a pair of 500lb bombs on his safe house in Hibhib, a village 48km northeast of Baghdad.

“Zarqawi’s demise is definitely positive for Jordan as he had a long-standing grudge against the regime and was heavily involved in planning and staging attacks in the country, said Joost Hiltermann, the Middle East project director of International Crisis Group.

In addition to leading scores of bombing campaigns in Iraq, Zarqawi was a strong proponent of spreading the jihad to neighbouring countries, as evidenced by his hand in masterminding the November 2005 triple suicide bombings in Amman.

The attacks against three of the capital’s hotels left 60 people dead and around a hundred injured.

In an Internet statement following the bombings, Zarqawi threatened more attacks and denounced Jordan as a land “crawling with American and Zionist spies.”

“Zarqawi’s grudge against the Monarchy dates back to the late 1980s when he returned radicalised from the jihad against the Soviets in Afghanistan,” Hiltermann said.

On returning to Jordan, Zarqawi attempted to form a jihadi cell which ended in failure when authorities broke up his group after an unsuccessful attempt to attack Israeli targets. He was sent to prison only to be released in a Royal amnesty in 1999.

“Of all the neighbouring countries, Jordan will benefit most from the news that Zarqawi is no longer active,” according to political analyst and Al Ghad columnist Muhammad Abu Rumman.

“Iraq gave Zarqawi the perfect training and recruiting ground to export the jihad here. Although he was based in Iraq, there is no doubt that his eyes were always fixed on his homeland,” Abu Rumman said.

Hiltermann said the likelihood of Zarqawi’s followers in Jordan carrying out attacks in emulation or support of their slain leader was minimal, adding that although local followers have the technical know-how they have been thoroughly infiltrated by the security forces.

“The chances now of large- scale Al Qaeda synchronised attacks has been greatly reduced with the end of Zarqawi. If there are attacks by his followers here seeking to emulate him they are much more likely to be sporadic, low-key and unorganised,” said Hilterman.

Fares Braizat, from the University of Jordan’s Centre for Strategic Studies, agreed that the threat to Jordan came from Zarqawi’s ability to use Iraq as a base for his wider struggle.

“His ability to recruit experienced and battle-hardened foreign militants posed a serious threat to Jordan’s security, as evidenced by the four Iraqis who carried out the November attacks, said Braizat.

Analysts agreed that the new Al Qaeda leardership in Iraq is now much more likely to be focussed on finding a new leader, which may lead to an internal power struggle.

The organisation will also be seeking to show that they have not been affected by the loss of their leader, a position that will translate into an increase in attacks on coalition forces, according to Braizat.

Hiltermann, however, sounded a note of caution.

“We shouldn’t jump the gun and need to wait and see who the new leader is going to be. If the leader turns out to be another Jordanian then the country may well remain the frame for some time to come.”

Monday, June 12, 2006

WOCMES tackles global rise in suicide attacks

By Paul Tate

AMMAN — The global rise in suicide attacks is set to increase as a result of the inequalities of modern day conflicts, a leading specialist in the field said on Thursday.

In a keynote address delivered at the Second World Congress for Middle Eastern Studies (WOCMES-2), visiting Professor of Sociology at Yale University Riaz Hassan said since the invasion of Iraq in 2003 there have been more suicide attacks globally than in the previous 25 years combined.

“The targeted use of self-destructing humans against a perceived enemy for political ends has increased dramatically over the past 25 years, said Hassan, who has spent the past 40 years delving into the reasons which drive people to commit suicide.

Hassan said the main causes of suicide terrorism are primarily political and not religious, adding that they are linked to “a historical experience of humiliation and dispossession.”

“Attacks are more likely to take place in situations of unequal conflict and are aimed at forcing concessions from the more powerful enemy, said Hassan, referring specifically to Lebanon, Palestine and Iraq.

“The potential suicide bomber empowers him or herself in the face of powerlessness and is driven by deep-rooted feelings of humiliation which acts as a strong magnet in recruiting more potential bombers.”

According to the scholar’s research, between 1981 and 1990 there was an average of 4.7 suicide bombings globally each year.

However, in 2005 a total of 224 suicide attacks took place in the Middle East region alone, mostly in Iraq, with 172 attributed to the group formerly led by Abu Mussab Zarqawi.

“Studies reveal that most suicide bombers are aged between 18-31, are well educated, polite and serious individuals with a deep sense of religious conviction,” said Hassan.

He traced the modern era of suicide bombing to events in Lebanon and the 1981 attack against the Iraqi embassy and later the 1983 suicide operation targeting American and French forces in the country, leading to their ultimate withdrawal.

“However, suicide bombing is not the great modern phenomenon that we are led to believe, and can be traced back as far as the first century AD during the Roman occupation of Judea,” said Hassan.

“This trend carried on in the 12th and 13th centuries with the Islamic order of the Assassins in northwest Iran right through to the Japanese Kamikaze pilots during World War II and Sept. 11 2001,” he added.

“The main difference now is that the problem has become global.”

Hassan concluded by suggesting that the rise in suicide attacks can only be reversed by addressing the root causes, in addition to empowering moderate forces, engaging in constructive dialogue, moderating foreign policy and tackling the sources of funding.

“The strange thing is that as suicide attacks have increased whilst incidents of global terrorism have declined from 665 in 1986 to 208 in 2003,” said Hassan, saying this calls into question the whole concept of the US-led war on terror.

The keynote address was chaired by Hassan Abu Nimah, director of the Royal Institute for Inter-Faith Studies, the local organiser of the five-day conference.

The congress, which concludes today, gathers more than 1,500 scholars, researchers and experts on Middle East from around the world, drawn from a broad range of educational and other organisations.

Friday-Saturday, June 16-17, 2006

UK minister downplays criticism of Israel

By Paul Tate

Amman — British Foreign Office Minister for the Middle East Kim Howells on Monday played down earlier remarks criticising Israel’s “disproportionate use of force” in Lebanon, instead placing the blame for the current conflict firmly on Hizbollah.

“It’s easy for me to say the response was disproportionate but I am not one of those people in Haifa having their legs blown apart by Hizbollah missiles, Howells told a press conference at the British ambassador’s residence here.

Earlier yesterday, Howells met with HRH Prince Feisal, the Regent, Prime Minister Marouf Bakhit and Foreign Minister Abdul Ilah Khatib to discuss the escalating crisis amid a flurry of diplomatic activity in the region.

“We sought from the Jordanians their insight into the way Syria is behaving and the links between Iran, Syria and Hizbollah,” he said. He did not elaborate further.

On Friday during a visit to Beirut, Howells dramatically broke ranks with his government’s so far uncritical support of Israel by calling into question the Jewish state’s military tactics.

“These have not been surgical strikes. And it’s very, very difficult I think to understand the kind of military tactics that have been used, “ he said, referring to the Israeli bombardment of Lebanon.

Yesterday, however, the minister emphasised the need to protect Israel’s security and voiced Britain’s firm support for the US position that a ceasefire would not be appropriate without the necessary political framework in place and a stabilisation force set up.

“We are committed to bringing this conflict to a close, but it is no good to have a gesture and the violence stops and then Hizbollah using it as a claim of victory or to rearm itself and replenish its resources,” said the diplomat.

“That is not the way to form a sustainable peace,” he added.

Howells did not give any details on what form any possible stabilisation force would take.

“There are no easy decisions about an intervention force... what will be its rules of engagement? And most importantly it has to be a force that has the agreement of the Lebanese government,” he said.

Howells’ trip has so far taken him to Beirut, Cyprus, Tel Aviv and parts of the occupied Palestinian territories, but not Syria, viewed by many as the key player in brokering any possible ceasefire.

“There are great suspicions about the Syrians. Why are they playing this role? Why are they being the bankers and armours of Hizbollah,” he said, adding that it was incumbent upon them to show transparency and honesty.

The US has so far refused to talk to Syria, which it lists as a state sponsor of terror and Howells indicated that a British delegation may not have been welcomed in Damascus.

“I am not sure that the Syrians would have welcomed a visit... but we have engaged very closely through our ambassador in Damascus,” said the minister.

“I have no doubt that the Syrians have a part to play and they will have a part to play,” he added.

Howells said the implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 1559 and the disarming of Hizbollah is the key to stability in Lebanon.

“You cannot have within a state two spokespersons speaking on behalf of the people and two sets of guns. You can only have one, and that has got to be the democratically elected government,” he said.



Tuesday, July 25, 2006

Jordan ranks 78th in ease of doing business survey

By Paul Tate

AMMAN — Jordan currently ranks 78th in an annual global ranking of business-friendly economies, according to a World Bank report released on Wednesday.

The “Doing Business” report ranks 175 economies by tracking key indicators such as the time and cost to start and close a business, access to credit, acquiring licences, employing workers, paying taxes, among others.

In 2005, Jordan ranked 73, representing a slip of five places in this year’s index.

In terms of the region, Jordan ranked as the 6th easiest country in which to do business, after Israel (26), Saudi Arabia (38), Kuwait (46), Oman (55) and the UAE (77).

Among other regional countries Tunisia achieved an index of 80, followed by Lebanon (86), Yemen (98), Morocco (115), Algeria (116), West Bank and Gaza (127), Syria (130), Iraq (145), Sudan (154) and Egypt (165).

According to the report, entrepreneurs wishing to set up a business in Jordan can expect to go through 11 steps to launch a business over 18 days on average, at a cost equal to 73 per cent of gross national income (GNI) per capita.

They must also deposit at least 864.4 per cent of GNI per capita in a bank to obtain a business registration number.

The regional average is 10.3 steps, the report states.

The main areas where Jordan slipped rank in 2006 were in starting a business, access to credit and the ease of closing a business.

In only one indicator did Jordan’s ranking improve on the previous year — Trading Across Borders — while the indicators for Employing Workers and Registering Property remained unchanged, according to the report.

The Employing Workers Index examined the difficulty of hiring a new worker, rigidity of rules on expanding or contracting working hours, the non-salary costs of hiring a worker, and the difficulties and costs involved in dismissing a redundant worker.

Although the country scored 27 compared with a regional average of 35.8 in the Rigidity of Employment Index, which measures the flexibility of labour regulations, it did far less well when it came to the difficulty of firing staff.

The report states that rigid regulations make firing staff difficult, with Jordan scoring an index of 50 compared to a regional average of 32.9 and 27.4 in the industrialised nations of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).

Each index assigns values between 0 and 100, with higher values representing more rigid regulations.

In terms of the ease or difficulty of enforcing commercial contracts in Jordan, the report states that it takes 43 procedures and 342 days to enforce contracts, with the cost of enforcing contracts calculated at 16.20 per cent of debt.

In OECD countries the average number of procedures is 22.2 and the cost of enforcing contracts is 11.2 per cent of debt.

The World Bank survey ranked Singapore as the most business-friendly economy, while China was named as the best reformer in Asia over the past year.

New Zealand slipped to second place followed by the United States, Canada and Hong Kong.

Globally, China ranks 4th in terms of speed of reforms, after Georgia, Romania and Mexico.

Thursday, September 7, 2006

US pledges to boost trade with Jordan

By Paul Tate

AMMAN — Officials on Monday praised the success of the Jordan-US Free Trade Agreement (FTA) and promised to redouble efforts to phase out existing trade tariffs between the two countries, mainly in the textile and garments sector.

Speaking at the conclusion of the third meeting of the Jordan-US FTA Committee, Minister of Trade and Industry Sharif Zu’bi described the agreement as a success but called for a speedy reduction of remaining tariffs.

“We would like to see a reduction on garments and textiles and I raised this matter during our discussions. But we also need to focus more on producing goods tailored to the US market and in diversifying our exports,” said Zu’bi.

The minister said the government is currently running a JD4.5 million programme to support local businesses in upgrading the quality of their products in order to be able to compete in the competitive US market.

“We are cooperating with the private sector to diversify the exports to include medicine, jewellery, electrical appliances, electronic goods and cooling systems,” Zu’bi said.

At present Jordanian ready-made garments, which form the bulk of the country’s exports to the US, are subject to tariffs of between 25 - 30 per cent. These tariffs are scheduled to be completely eliminated by 2011.

US trade representative for Europe and the Middle East, Shaun Donnelly, noted that these goods represent only 10 per cent of overall trade under the FTA, and pledged to boost trade and phase out remaining tariffs over the coming years.

“I was not able to give a commitment during our discussion with regards to this issue, but we should bear in mind that the vast majority of our trade is working,” he said.

As a result of the Qualifying Industrial Zones (QIZ) deal and the Jordan-US FTA, signed in December 2001, the country’s exports to the US have soared from a meagre $13 million in 1999 to $1.3 billion in 2005.

The QIZ agreement, signed in 1997, came out of the 1994 peace treaty with Israel and entitles products produced in the zones to both duty-free and quota-free access to the American market as long as they have a specified Jordanian-Israeli input.

In the region, the US has signed free trade agreements with Bahrain, Israel, Oman and Morocco, and is currently holding talks with Egypt.

The United States is now Jordan’s second largest trading partner after Saudi Arabia, with 33 per cent of exports destined for the American market, said Zu’bi.

Clothing and garments remain the major export items, constituting 92.3 per cent of all exported goods. Total exports to the US in this sector totalled JD463.8 million in the first seven months of this year.

“The US sees Jordan as a pioneer in paving the way for our vision of a US-Middle East free trade area within the next 10 years. We will continue to focus on Jordan to strengthen our partnership and boost employment opportunities,” said Donnelly.

Tuesday, September 19, 2006

Jordan witnesses investment boom

By Paul Tate

AMMAN — The country has witnessed an investment boom this year totalling JD1.634 billion in the first nine months alone, more than double the amount for the whole of 2005.

Figures released by the Jordan Investment Board (JIB) show a huge surge in the amount of capital flowing into the country’s economy, from JD750 million in 2005 to JD1.634 billion up until September 2006.

Also significant is the level of foreign direct investment the country is managing to attract, up from JD227 million in 2005 to JD834 million in the first nine months of this year alone.

The increase in foreign direct investment has also, for the first time, exceeded the level of local investment, which currently stands at JD799 million.

JIB Chief Executive Officer Maen Nsour told The Jordan Times yesterday that the country’s sound macro-economic policies and investment legislation have proved to be key factors in attracting investors.

“Our macro-economic policies have been the main driving force leading to the growth in investments that we are now witnessing, along with the country’s security and stability,“ said Nsour.

The forecast economic growth for the country this year is 6 per cent. In 2005 the growth rate was 7.2 per cent.

“The lion’s share of new investments have been made in the industrial sector and high-value-added sectors whose contribution to the overall economy of the country is significant as they increase exports and provide employment opportunities,” said the JIB official.

“We are trying to create about 60,000 new jobs a year and at least 27,000 of these jobs should be in areas considered as high value sectors,” Nsour added.

Investment in Jordan has grown significantly over the past four years. In 2002 the level of investment in the country’s economy stood at just JD301 million, of which JD131 million was foreign investment.

The majority of the capital currently flowing into the country is coming from Gulf States flush with petrodollars from the recent high oil prices, and is focused on industry and the booming real estate sector, particularly hotel construction.

According to JIB figures, Arab financiers invested JD764 million in the country’s economy in the first nine months of this year, compared to just JD22 million from the US and Canada and a mere JD8.5 million from Europe.

Nsour said he doesn’t expect the level of investment from the Gulf to drop even if oil prices continue their recent downward spiral of below $60 a barrel from a high of above $72 earlier in the year.

“A slide in oil prices will not greatly affect the flow of investment into the country as there are ample opportunities here that Gulf investors are keen to take advantage of,” said Nsour.

Although Jordan is a small country with a population of just 5.5 million and limited natural resources, the head of the JIB said that this is not what investors are looking at when weighing up their options.

“Investors are more focussed on the bigger picture and the benefits that Jordan now offers as a bridge to a much wider consumer market,” said Nsour.

The official was referring to the various trade agreements the country has signed, particularly the Free Trade Agreement with the US and the Qualifying Industrial Zones agreement, but also the Great Arab Free Trade Agreement, all of which offer industrialists access to a much greater market.

“When investors look at Jordan they are not thinking solely about the local market but are taking into consideration the fact that through Jordan they can reach 1.3 billion people, which is the combined population of the countries with which Jordan has trade agreements,” Nsour said.

The JIB was created after the introduction of the Investment Law of 2003 and the Investment Promotion Law of 1995, which established it as a governmental body enjoying both financial and administrative independence with a remit to increase foreign direct investment to create new job opportunities and increase national exports.

In order to capitalise on its success, the JIB is opening four new offices in Abu Dhabi, Kuwait, Qatar and Saudi Arabia.

Wednesday, October 4, 2006

Six consortiums to bid for airport expansion project

By Paul Tate
AMMAN — The Ministry of Transport on Thursday qualified six consortiums to bid for a tender to construct a new terminal at Queen Alia International Airport (QAIA), a ministry official said.

The three-year 90,000 square metre expansion project is aimed at upgrading the airport to meet the expected increase in passenger traffic over the next 30 years.

The winner of the tender, estimated to be in the region of JD200 million, will construct a new terminal adjacent to the existing one on a build, operate and transfer basis, said Amer Hadidi, secretary general of the ministry.

The target date for the final bid is early January 2007, with the winner to be announced by early February.

“We originally had expressions of interest from 22 consortiums, eight of which submitted requests for qualification,” Hadidi told The Jordan Times.

Out of the eight applications, the Project Steering Committee yesterday announced six qualified bidders.

“The qualified bidders are amongst the leading international and regional airport operators, construction companies and financial institutions. Their participation in the Queen Alia International Airport Project affirms the strong interest of international investors in Jordan,” said a ministry statement.

Construction of the new terminal, part of the Kingdom’s bid to become a regional financial, trade and transport hub, is scheduled to be completed by 2010 and will increase the airport’s passenger flow from the current 3.2 million a year to nine million.

This figure is expected to rise to 12.8 million passengers a year by 2030, according to the ministry.

“Our aim is to build a state of the art airport to increase the competitiveness of Jordan as a regional hub and cater for the increase in passengers and tourists for the next thirty years,” said Hadidi.

Jordan, however, faces stiff competition in the region from Gulf States flush with petrodollars and already investing heavily in airport expansion projects, while Dubai has already established itself as a key transit route and financial centre.

Earlier this week, Kuwait announced it intends to plough $2.1 billion into a major expansion project for its international airport. The project includes infrastructure work, expanding the airport’s two runways and building a new runway.

Qatar is also involved in a mega project to build the new Doha International Airport to handle around 12.5 million passengers a year after the first phase of construction, due to be completed by early 2009 at a cost of $2.5 billion. The project is designed to accommodate the new Airbus A380-800 ‘Super Jumbo’.

Phases two and three of the project are projected to cost an additional $5 billion.

“We are not able to compete with airports that are heavily state-subsidised. We are more focussed on the Levant area due to our geographical location, which we believe gives us an advantage over our competitors and will enable us to increase long haul flights to the Far East,” said Hadidi.

QAIA opened in 1983 and in 2005 handled around 3 million passengers.



The six qualified bidders



• Alfa Consortium consisting of Aéroports de Paris (France), J&P (Cyprus), ADIC (UAE), Noor (Kuwait) and EDGO (Jordan).



• Amman Airport Partners consisting of Hochtief (Germany), Mubadala (UAE), Saudi Oger (Saudi Arabia), and United Arab Investors (Jordan).



• Celebi Consortium consisting of Celebi Holdings (Turkey), Vienna Airports (Austria), Nurol Construction (Turkey), YDA (Turkey).



• IIG Consortium consisting of IIG (Kuwait), Banco Efisa (Portugal), Soares de Costa (Portugal), and Aeroportos de Portugal (Portugal).



• TAV Consortium consisting of TAV Airports Holding (Turkey), CCC (Greece), and Kawar (Jordan).



• UDCH Consortium consisting of UDCH (Kuwait), KJH (Kuwait) and Malaysia Airports Holding (Malaysia).

Friday-Saturday, October 6-7, 2006

Gov’t to float tender for Amman-Zarqa rail link

By Paul Tate

AMMAN — The government will float a tender in early December for the construction of a 28-kilometre light railway connecting the capital with the industrial city of Zarqa, a transport official confirmed on Sunday.

Public Transport Regulatory Commission Director General Hashem Masaeed told The Jordan Times that so far six international companies had expressed interest in the project, which is designed to alleviate traffic congestion on the Amman-Zarqa highway.

“The tender will be floated on December 10 with the qualified bidder to be announced by March 2007,” said Masaeed, adding that the project will take two years to complete and will cost somewhere in the region of $120 million to $140 million.

The tender will be awarded on a Build, Operate and Transfer basis.

“The project’s main purpose is to alleviate traffic congestion between Amman and Zarqa and facilitate the flow of commuters and goods, but we also aim to promote the use of public transport in the country and encourage citizens to consider alternatives to the car,” the official said.

When completed, the rail system will transport 100,000 commuters a day between the two neighbouring cities, which have a combined population of more than three million citizens.

The volume of traffic between the capital and Zarqa, which contains more than 52 per cent of the country’s industrial plants, has increased over recent years in line with economic growth, which reached 7.2 per cent in 2005.

Department of Statistics figures for the first seven months of this year also show a rise in exports by 13 per cent, totalling JD1,627.5 million, compared to JD1,439.9 million during the same period of 2005.

Masaeed said the new rail link marks the first phase of a long-term vision to build a modern transport system to support the country’s economic development.

“We eventually hope to extend this rail system up to the Syrian border and south to Queen Alia International Airport and also to various parts of the capital,” he said.

He added that the new network would reduce diesel consumption by 9 million litres per year and the consumption of petrol by 7.5 million litres, saving JD6 million a year in energy costs.

Monday, October 9, 2006

RJ to begin new UK cargo flight to meet export growth

By Paul Tate


AMMAN — Royal Jordanian Airlines (RJ) is to add a weekly freighter service to London later this month to support Jordan’s growing exports to the UK and Continental Europe.

The new cargo service to London Stansted Airport, which currently handles around 13 per cent of all UK air freight, totalling over 230,000 tonnes a year, will supplement the current weekly freighter operation into London Heathrow.

Vice president of RJ Cargo, Geoffrey Weston, told The Jordan Times on Tuesday that the new flight is designed to cope with the increase in cargo volumes over the past year and meet the needs of Jordanian exporters seeking quicker access to the European market.

“We have experienced very strong growth in our operations in and out of London since September last year, with the cargo volume increasing by around 80 per cent,” said Weston.

The airline official said the growth is being driven by an upsurge in exports, mainly consisting of farm produce destined for the UK and other European countries, but also in textiles and garments for the United States.

“We are involved in ongoing discussions with local producers who have made it clear to us that they require more export options. We hope the new service will help meet their needs,” said Weston.

He added that the airline had recently signed an agreement with American Airlines and MAXjet to transport RJ cargo from London to the US.

Faisal Deek, chairman of the Jordan Exporters & Producers Association for Fruit and Vegetables (JEPA), an organisation set up to facilitate and promote farm exports, welcomed the announcement.

“This will greatly assist us in our efforts to boost exports and penetrate more markets. We have good working relationship with the airline, which is doing its best to address our concerns,” said Deek.

The JEPA official said local producers had been hit hard by the fuel surcharge imposed in late 2003 as a result of soaring international oil prices, but this had been largely offset by export growth.

According to the Ministry of Agriculture, exports of fruit and vegetables to the EU are expected to reach 7,000 tonnes by the end of this year, compared to 4,000 tonnes in 2005.

In August this year, two Jordanian farms acquired the European Good Agricultural Practices (EuroGAP) Certificate, allowing them to export directly to European supermarkets, bypassing Europe’s central markets, where Jordanian agricultural products fetch lower prices and are subject to commission fees.

“Although overall export figures remain relatively low the percentage increase has grown considerably, particularly in winter produce like peppers, tomatoes, herbs and strawberries,” said Deek.

Weston said the growth in cargo operations at Queen Alia International Airport had led to a reassessment of its warehouse facilities, which have suffered from a lack of investment since they opened 25 years ago.

“We are currently upgrading the warehouse infrastructure and have employed 32 new porters over the past two months and 14 employees to work in RJ Cargo’s customer service department,” said Weston.

RJ Airbus A310 freighters operate on a regular basis to Beirut, Baghdad, Dubai, Tel Aviv, London Heathrow, Maastricht and New York. RJ also transports air freight in passenger aircraft to 43 other destinations.

Wednesday, October 11, 2006

Jordan Telecom Group reports slightly lower profit, 34% growth in subscriber base

By Paul Tate

AMMAN — Jordan Telecom Group’s subscriber base grew by 34 per cent during the first nine months of 2006, largely driven by a huge surge in MobileCom customers, while the group’s overall profit dropped slightly in the face of stiff competition in international calls.

According to a statement released on Wednesday, the group’s subscriber base jumped to 1.9 million at the end of September, from 1.4 million at the end of 2005.

The growth is being driven by a vast expansion in the customer base of GSM operator MobileCom, which has increased by 63 per cent on 2005 figures, and also by an upsurge in subscribers to Wanadoo’s ADSL broadband service, the group’s Internet service provider.

“The GSM market is booming at the moment due to a number of factors, including the large influx of Iraqis, Jordanian expats and visiting Gulf Arabs, together with a significant reduction in the price of pre-paid calling cards which are now valid for one year,” said Salim Abu Manneh, the group’s cooperate financial controller.

Figures show that MobileCom’s third quarter revenues reached JD101.6 million, an increase of 18.8 per cent on the previous year, while Wanadoo generated revenues of JD7.4 million, a growth of 42.3 per cent in the same period of 2005.

“Our GSM market share has grown to 28 per cent with 1.2 million subscribers while our ADSL subscriber base has reached 50 per cent of Internet customers, becoming the main driver of Wanadoo revenues as people become more attracted to the benefits of high speed broadband,” said Manneh.

Fastlink, owned by the Kuwait-based Mobile Telecommunications Company, continues to retain the lion’s share of the country’s lucrative GSM market with 2.3 million subscribers, while the country’s third GSM operator Umniah has around half a million customers.

However, despite the growth in Jordan Telecom Group’s subscriber base, overall third quarter revenues saw little change on the previous year as a result of fierce competition in international traffic and a seven per cent increase in operational costs.

Revenues totalled JD268.8 million, compared to JD268.0 million during the corresponding period of 2005, while the profit margin witnessed a slight drop to JD68.4 million, from JD69.5 million the previous year.

Most of the losses occurred in Jordan Telecom’s fixed-line service which has faced heavy competition in international traffic since its monopoly ended in January 2005.

Revenues totalled JD181.4 million during the first nine months of this year, representing a decline of 6.8 per cent on 2005 figures.

“This was expected as we face stiffer rivalry in international calls from an array of competitors offering cheap pre-paid call cards and Internet dialling services. All of this is affecting our overall revenues,” said Abu Manneh.

“Although we have reduced international call charges and increased our MobileCom and Wanadoo subscriber base, this has not offset the losses resulting from this new competition,” he added.

Jordan Telecom was privatised in February 2000 in partnership with France Telecom as part of the government’s commitment to the IMF structural reform package.

The government retains a 15.6 per cent stake while France Telecom holds a 50 per cent majority interest, with the option of an additional one per cent, which it is expected to acquire by the end of this month, according to a well-informed source.

Other stakeholders include the Social Security Corporation with 17.6 per cent and the Kuwaiti Al Nour Company which has a 10 per cent stake.

Friday-Saturday, November 3-4, 2006

Saddam death sentence draws mixed reaction

By Paul Tate and Hugh Naylor
AMMAN — Iraqis and Jordanians expressed differing views yesterday over the death sentence against former president Saddam Hussein, with some describing the verdict as a victory for justice while others claimed it to be politically motivated.

“I am not happy or sad about the verdict. But he deserves to die. His policies caused a lot of harm and suffering to Iraqis,” said Fatima Salim, 31, a Shiite who fled to Jordan six months ago after her uncle was kidnapped by sectarian militias and presumed killed.

A court in Baghdad yesterday sentenced Saddam to death by hanging over the murder of more than 148 Shiite Muslims in reprisal for a 1982 assassination attempt on the Iraqi leader in the town of Dujail.

Saddam’s half-brother and former intelligence chief Barzan Ibrahim and Awad Hamed Al Bandar, head of the former revolutionary court, were also sentenced to hang, while former Iraqi vice president Taha Yassin Ramadan was sentenced to life in prison.

Salim, one of up to 800,000 Iraqis who have sought refuge in Jordan since the US-led invasion of March 2003, said, however, that the trial was politically motivated to coincide with Tuesday’s US congressional elections.

“It’s political that’s why the court issued the verdict at this time, but I still believe he deserved the death penalty.”

Talal Said, a Sunni from Iraq’s Diyala Governorate, agreed that Saddam warranted capital punishment for the crimes he committed against his own people and also for his wars against Iran and Kuwait.

“He conducted genocide and gassed his own people. No one can deny he was a brutal dictator,” said Said, who claimed to have fled persecution at the hands of the Baathist regime in 2001 before seeking refuge in Jordan.

He said although the verdict may cause a spike in violence in Sunni strongholds throughout the Anbar Province, it was the right decision as Saddam had betrayed the Iraqi nation.

“He [Saddam] fled his people when the Americans invaded. He abandoned them, which means he should be put to death.”

However, Jordanian worshippers leaving a west Amman mosque vented their anger yesterday at the court’s decision, arguing that Saddam was innocent of the charges and had been subjected to degrading treatment while in US custody.

“Who was responsible for Abu Ghraib? They [the United States] should be found guilty,” said civil engineer Mohammad Abu Ayyoub, adding that Saddam was forced to wash his own clothes and deprived of basic necessities.

When asked about the former president’s killing of Shiite villagers in Dujail and the alleged gassing of Kurds in Halabja in the late 1980s, Abu Ayyoub shrugged his shoulders and declined to comment.

Standing in front of the mosque’s entrance, fruit vendor Kamal Abdullah waved his fists defiantly in the air in a display of open support for the former Iraqi leader.

“Saddam was good, Saddam was good. He was like my brother. He was good,” he shouted, as his younger brother stood by his side nodding in agreement.

Rawia Shammaf, who arrived here from Iraq seven years ago and works as a technician at an eye clinic in Tlaa Al Ali, said she opposed the death sentence but her thoughts were focussed on her family back home in the Dora District of Baghdad.

“He was our president for many years. But I guess the new government knows more than me, so they know what to do with him,” she said.

“Everything is different since the Americans came. At the beginning people were happy Saddam was gone. But things are different now,” she said in reference to the increasing sectarian violence that is plaguing parts of the country.

“I worry about my family everyday, they can’t even leave their houses now… I feel bad for all of the Iraqi people. We have enough killing in Iraq already.”

Political Analyst Mohammad Masri, from the University of Jordan’s Centre for Strategic Studies, said the verdict would have a negligible affect on the level of violence in the neighbouring country.

“After the verdict, some people will no doubt get emotional and hold demonstrations but immediate reactions to the verdict will cease in the coming days and it will not affect the nature of the conflict,” said Masri.

The researcher noted that many of Iraq’s insurgent groups, such as Al Qaeda and the Islamic Army of Iraq, were never supporters of Saddam, while former Baath Party members have sought to distance themselves from the deposed leader.

“The internal dynamics of the conflict will be the decisive factors: Which are the occupation and the general polarisation of Iraqi society.”

Monday, November 6, 2006

Corruption levels perceived to have worsened over last year, says Transparency International



By Paul Tate

AMMAN — The level of corruption in Jordan is perceived to have significantly worsened over the last year, according to a report released by Transparency International on Monday.

In its annual Corruption Perceptions Index, which covers 163 countries, the global graft watchdog ranked Jordan 40, with a score of 5.3, a drop of three places on last year’s ranking when the country scored an index of 5.7.

The index score relates to perceptions of the degree of corruption as seen by businesspeople and country analysts and ranges between zero, very corrupt, and 10, clean.

Survey questions for the index focus on the misuse of public power for private benefit, such as bribery of public officials, kickbacks, embezzlement, or questions that probe the strength of anti-corruption policies.

The report will serve as a sharp reminder for the government which has placed tackling corruption among its top priorities, and comes in the wake of a local opinion poll earlier this month which revealed that citizens have little faith in the government’s ability to seriously address this issue.

The poll, conducted by the University of Jordan’s Centre for Strategic Studies (CSS), showed that citizens believe that nepotism, fraud and graft have steadily increased in both the public and private sectors.

Over 60 per cent of those polled believe that corruption is “rampant” within the public sector, while over 50 per cent said it had also become more widespread in the private sector.

Three-quarters of respondents said they were unaware of any cases of alleged corruption being investigated by the authorities, despite the fact that the present government has initiated legal proceedings against four major institutions, including former and present officials of the Ministry of Municipal Affairs over graft allegations.

CSS pollster Mohammad Masri said the Transparency International survey confirmed the university’s findings.

“The government lacks an overall strategy to combat corruption… and has not found a means to change attitudes towards it among the people or in the public sector itself,” he told The Jordan Times yesterday.

“Civil servants don’t believe that the government is serious about this issue, which means that citizens and civil servants aren’t discouraged from turning a blind eye to corruption.”

Masri said that the prevalence of wasta (favouritism based on connections) and the fact that it remains a commonly accepted practice within Jordanian society, had resulted in other forms of corruption becoming a socially acceptable norm.

“In one our recent surveys, we found that people see wasta as an acceptable practice… but wasta is corruption,” said Masri.

In September, the Senate approved the anti-corruption commission draft law after endorsing an amendment introduced by the Lower House placing it under the auspices of the Prime Ministry.

The law, however, immediately came under fire from human rights activists who said the commission should be independent of the government if it is to seriously pursue graft allegations.

The Transparency International (TI) report found that Haiti, Myanmar and Iraq are perceived as the most corrupt countries in the world, while Finland is regarded as the cleanest.

TI said that corruption was shockingly rampant worldwide with almost three-quarters of the countries in the report scoring below five, including all low-income countries and all but two African states.

Countries with a significant worsening in perceived levels of corruption also include Brazil, Israel, Tunisia and the United States.

Wealthy democracies topped the list, confirming the link between anti-sleaze efforts and prosperity.

“Despite a decade of progress in establishing anti-corruption laws and regulations, today’s results indicate that much remains to be done before we see meaningful improvements in the lives of the world’s poorest citizens,” the chairwoman of the Berlin-based nongovernmental organisation, Huguette Labelle, said in a statement.



Tuesday, November 7, 2006